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1.1: The Malthusian Growth Model

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    93490
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    Let \(N(t)\) be the number of individuals in a population at time \(t\), and let \(b\) and \(d\) be the average per capita birth rate and death rate, respectively. In a short time \(\Delta t\), the number of births in the population is \(b \Delta t N\), and the number of deaths is \(d \Delta t N\). An equation for \(N\) at time \(t+\Delta t\) is then determined to be

    \[N(t+\Delta t)=N(t)+b \Delta t N(t)-d \Delta t N(t) \nonumber \]

    which can be rearranged to

    \[\dfrac{N(t+\Delta t)-N(t)}{\Delta t}=(b-d) N(t) \nonumber \]

    and as \(\Delta t \rightarrow 0\)

    \[\dfrac{d N}{d t}=(b-d) N \text {. } \nonumber \]

    With an initial population size of \(N_{0}\), and with \(r=b-d\) positive, the solution for \(N=N(t)\) grows exponentially:

    \[N(t)=N_{0} e^{r t} \nonumber \]

    With population size replaced by the amount of money in a bank, the exponential growth law also describes the growth of an account under continuous compounding With interest rate \(r\).


    This page titled 1.1: The Malthusian Growth Model is shared under a CC BY 3.0 license and was authored, remixed, and/or curated by Jeffrey R. Chasnov via source content that was edited to the style and standards of the LibreTexts platform; a detailed edit history is available upon request.